2026
Host Factors Modulate
Nirmatrelvir–Ritonavir Efficacy in COVID-19 Patients: A Viral Dynamics Modeling Study
Liao Y., Wang Y., Wang Y., Ai J., Law B. K., Lim D., Zhou J., Wang H., Wu Y., Chia P. Y.,
Chua H. K., Chan C. E. Z., Schiffer J. T., Owens K., Esmaeili S., Cowling B. J., Cove M. E., Saito H., Wee L. E.,
Young B. E., Ng T. M., Chan E. C. Y., Ajelli M., Zhang W., Yu H., Ejima K.
Preprint available on medRxiv (2026)
Spatiotemporal Dynamics
of Aedes aegypti and Culex quinquefasciatus populations in Miami-Dade County, Florida
Vasquez C., Multini L. C., Mutebi J.-P., SeRine E., Hill M. D.,
Litvinova M., Ajelli M., Wilke A. B. B.
PLoS One 21(4), e0334586 (2026)
IRIS, a modeling tool for the
in-silico evaluation of mosquito control trial designs based on inundative releases
Chitturi J., Ventura P. C., Kummer A. G., Vasquez C., SeRine E.,
Hill M. D., Manica M., Poletti P., Beier J. C., Ejima K., Johansson M., Merler S.,
Yu H., Mutebi J.-P., Litvinova M., Wilke A. B. B., Ajelli M.
Preprint available on bioRxiv (2026)
Mosquito‐Borne
Disease among Individuals Experiencing Homelessness in the United States: A Literature Review
Wilke A. B. B., Hill M., Kummer A., Vasquez C., Mutebi J.-P., Huo X.,
Li H., Chen J., Ruan S., Beier J., Litvinova M., Byrne T., Ajelli M.
Journal of Pest Science 99, 69 (2026)
VIBES: A Multi-Scale Modeling
Approach Integrating Within-Host and Between-Hosts Dynamics in Epidemics
Ventura P. C., Jeong Y. D., Litvinova M., Kummer A. G., Iwami S.,
Yu H., Merler S., Vespignani A., Ejima K., Ajelli M.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of
America 123 (13), e2523055123 (2026)
Implications for distancing
measures on in-person school and work attendance from Italian post-pandemic social contact data
Lucchini L., Marziano V., Trentini F., Chiavenna C.,
D’Agnese E., Offeddu V., Manica M., Poletti P., Balsamo D., Guzzetta G.,
Ajelli M., Melegaro A., Merler S.
Communications Medicine, In press (2026)
Ecological and demographic
profile of Oropouche fever between 2014-2025 in Brazil: an epidemiological study
Hua X., Alexander L. W., Claro I. M., Shao Y., de Jesus R.,
de Lima S. T. S., Ventura P. C., Kato R. B., Ajelli M., Wilke A. B. B.,
Suchard M. A., Faria N. R., Proenca-Modena J. L., Dickson L. B., Bento A. I., de Souza W. M.
Nature Health (2026)
Understanding
human mobility patterns under a public health emergency
Peng C., Chen N., Ming B.-W., Zhang A., Zuo Y., Ventura P. C.,
Yu H., Ajelli M., Zhang J.
Infectious Disease Modelling 11 (1), 241-255 (2026)
2025
China's
post-zero-COVID Omicron wave: A Bayesian analysis
Cai J., Wu Y., Liu H., Deng Z., Yi L., Lai L., Funk A.,
Ajelli M., Yu H.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of
America 122 (48), e2514157122 (2025)
Epistorm-Mix: Mapping
Social Contact Patterns for Respiratory Pathogen Spread in the Post-Pandemic United States
Litvinova M., Sinclair S., Kummer A. G., Ventura P. C., Foster T.,
Shioda K., Halloran M. E., Vespignani A., Ajelli M.
Preprint available on medRxiv (2025)
Epydemix: An open-source
Python package for epidemic modeling with integrated approximate Bayesian calibration
Gozzi N., Chinazzi M., Davis J. T., Gioannini C., Rossi L., Ajelli M.,
Perra N., Vespignani A.
PLoS Computational Biology 21 (11), e1013735 (2025)
Mapping the Landscape of
Individual-Based Models for Respiratory Pathogen Transmission in the Pandemic and Post-Pandemic Era
(2020-2024): A Systematic Review
Mhade S., Bhosekar U., Hill M. D., Sinclair S., Agrawal S.,
Guerrini J., Zou L., Koebcke A., Kummer A. G., Ventura P. C., Del Valle S. Y.,
Chinazzi M., Litvinova M., Vespignani A., Ajelli M.
Preprint available on SSRN (2025)
Assessing the effectiveness
of test-trace-isolate interventions using a multi-layered temporal network
Cai Y., Wang W., Yu L., Wang R., Sun G.-Q., Kummer A. G.,
Ventura P. C., Lv J., Ajelli M., Liu Q.-H.
Infectious Disease Modelling 10 (3), 775-786 (2025)
Evaluating the effectiveness
of international travel controls to identify MPXV-infected travelers: a simulation study
Ejima K., Wang Y., Endo A., Murayama H., Goh Y. S., Cook A. R.,
Jeong Y. D., Iwami S., Park H., Dickens B. S. L., Jin S., Lim J. T., Chan C. E. Z.,
Chia P. Y., Young B. E., Yang Y., Chio M., Lye D. C., Ajelli M.
BMC Medicine 23 (1), 473 (2025)
Leveraging mosquito
surveillance data to assess ecosystem health
Scavo N. A., Vasquez C., Mutebi J.-P., Ajelli M., Wilke A. B. B.
Trends in Parasitology 41 (6), 424-427 (2025)
Social contact patterns
and their impact on the transmission of respiratory pathogens in rural China
Liang Y., You Q., Wang Q., Yang X., Zhong G., Dong K., Zhao Z.,
Liu N., Yan X., Lu W., Peng C., Zhou J., Lin J., Litvinova M., Jit M.,
Ajelli M., Yu H., Zhang J.
Infectious Disease Modelling 10 (2), 439-452 (2025)
Measles Population Immunity
in Hunan, China: A Serological Assessment
Wu Y., Wang Q., Wang W., Zhou X., Zhang J., Zhao S., Liang Y.,
Wang P., Trentini F., Ajelli M., Yu H.
Open Forum Infectious Diseases 12 (5), ofaf216 (2025)
Evaluation of the
2022 West Nile virus forecasting challenge, USA
Harp R. D., Holcomb K. M., Retkute R., Prusokiene A., Prusokas A.,
Ertem Z., Ajelli M., Kummer A. G., Litvinova M., Merler S., Pastore y Piontti A.,
Poletti P., Vespignani A., Wilke A. B. B., Zardini A., Smith K. H., Armstrong P.,
DeFelice N., Keyel A., Shepard J., Smith R., Tyre A., Humphreys J., Cohnstaedt L. W.,
Hosseini S., Scoglio C., Gorris M. E., Barnard M., Moser S. K., Spencer J. A.,
McCarter M. S. J., Lee C., Nolan M. S., Barker C. M., Staples J. E., Nett R. J.,
Johansson M. A.
Parasites & Vectors 18 (1), 152 (2025)
Vaccination strategies
for Ebola in the democratic republic of Congo: the WHO-Ebola modeling collaboration
Ajelli M., Muyembe J.-J., Touré A., Diallo A., Litvinova M.,
Merler S., Mulangu S., Bagayoko A., Bah A., Bah I., Barry A., Barry Fatoumata,
Chérif M., Condé D., Diallo A. A., Diallo F., Diakité M., Doré K., Mapan K. A.,
Koundouno T., Onivogui P. K., Lamah F., Maneno H., Nomou A., Sekouba K., Sani I.,
Soumah A., Sy M. M., Gsell P.-S., Halloran M. E., Henao-Restrepo A. M.,
Fall I. S., Ryan M. J., Salama P., Vespignani A., Longini Jr I. M.
International Journal of Infectious Diseases 153, 107779 (2025)
Age-and vaccination
status-dependent isolation guidelines based on simulation of SARS-CoV-2 Delta cases in Singapore
Ejima K., Ajelli M., Singh A., Chua H. K., Ponce L., Wang Y.,
Jeong Y. D., Iwami S., Shibuya K., Taniguchi K., Ohmagari N., Chia P. Y., Ong S. W. X.,
Tan K. B., Lye D. C., Young B. E.
Communications Medicine 5 (1), 76 (2025)
Human migrations,
anthropogenic changes, and insect-borne diseases in Latin America
Wilke A. B. B., Farina P., Ajelli M., Canale A., Dantas-Torres F.,
Otranto D., Benelli G.
Parasites & Vectors 18 (1), 4 (2025)
A modeling study to
define guidelines for antigen screening in schools and workplaces to mitigate COVID-19 outbreaks
Jeong Y. D., Ejima K., Kim K. S., Iwanami S., Hart W. S.,
Thompson R. N., Jung I. H., Iwami S., Ajelli M., Aihara K.
Communications Medicine 5 (1), 2 (2025)
Defining the Critical Requisites
for Accurate Simulation of SARS-CoV-2 Viral Dynamics: Patient Characteristics and Data Collection Protocol
Chua H. K., Singh A., Wang Y., Goh Y. S., Chan C. E. Z.,
Chavatte J.-M., Lin R. V. T. P., Su Y. C. F., Ajelli M., Chia P. Y., Ong S. W. X.,
Lye D. C., Young B. E., Ejima K.
Journal of Medical Virology 97 (1), e70174 (2025)
2024
Real-time estimates of
the emergence and dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern: A modeling approach
Gozzi N., Chinazzi M., Davis J. T., Mu K., Pastore y Piontti A.,
Ajelli M., Vespignani A., Perra N.
Epidemics 49, 100805 (2024)
Presence and abundance of
malaria vector species in Miami-Dade County, Florida
Wilke A. B. B., Vasquez C., Medina J., Unlu I., Beier J. C., Ajelli M.
Malaria Journal 23, 24 (2024)
Forecasting the relative
abundance of Aedes vector populations to enhance situational awareness for mosquito control operations
Ventura P. C., Kummer A. G., Wilke A. B. B., Chitturi J., Hill M. D.,
Vasquez C., Unlu I., Mutebi J.-P., Kluh S., Vetrone S., Damian D., Townsend J.,
Litvinova M., Ajelli M.
PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases 18(11), e0012671 (2024)
Increasing situational
awareness through nowcasting of the reproduction number
Bizzotto A., Guzzetta G., Marziano V., Del Manso M.,
Mateo Urdiales A., Petrone D., Cannone A., Sacco C., Poletti P., Manica M.,
Zardini A., Trentini F., Fabiani M., Bella A., Riccardo F., Pezzotti P.,
Ajelli M., Merler S.
Frontiers in Public Health 12, 1430920 (2024)
A multiscale modeling
framework for Scenario Modeling: Characterizing the heterogeneity of the COVID-19 epidemic in the US
Chinazzi M., Davis J. T., Pastore y Piontti A., Mu K., Gozzi N.,
Ajelli M., Perra N., Vespignani A.
Epidemics 47, 100757 (2024)
Assessing the impact of
interventions on the major Omicron BA.2 outbreak in spring 2022 in Shanghai
Liu H., Cai J., Zhou J., Xu X., Ajelli M., Yu H.
Infectious Disease Modelling 9(2), 519-526 (2024)
Comparing the effectiveness
of adulticide application interventions on mitigating local transmission of dengue virus
Kummer A. G., Wilke A. B. B., Ventura P. C., Vasquez C., Medina J.,
Unlu I., Gonzalez Y., Mhlanga A., Benelli G., Ejima K., Mutebi J.-P., Ajelli M.
Journal of Pest Science 98, 463-475 (2024)
Evaluating Seasonal Variations
in Human Contact Patterns and Their Impact on the Transmission of Respiratory Infectious Diseases
Kummer A. G., Zhang J., Jiang C., Litvinova M., Ventura P. C., Garcia M. A., Vespignani A., Wu H., Yu H., Ajelli M.
Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses 18(5), e13301 (2024)
Spatial spread of COVID-19
during the early pandemic phase in Italy
d’Andrea V., Trentini F., Marziano V., Zardini A., Manica M.,
Guzzetta G., Ajelli M., Petrone D., Del Manso M., Sacco C., Andrianou X.,
Bella A., Riccardo F., Pezzotti P., Poletti P., Merler S.
BMC Infectious Diseases 24, 450 (2024)
The decline of the 2022
Italian mpox epidemic: Role of behavior changes and control strategies
Guzzetta G., Marziano V., Mammone A., Siddu A., Ferraro F.,
Caraglia A., Maraglino F., Rezza G., Vespignani A., Longini I., Ajelli M.,
Merler S.
Nature Communications 15, 2283 (2024)
Counterfactual analysis of
the 2023 Omicron XBB wave in China
Liu H., Xu X., Deng X., Hu Z., Sun R., Zou J., Dong J.,
Wu Q., Chen X., Yi L., Cai J., Zhang J., Ajelli M., Yu H.
Infectious Disease Modelling 9(1), 195-203 (2024)
The unequal effects of the
health-economy trade-off during the COVID-19 pandemic
Pangallo M., Aleta A., del Rio-Chanona R. M., Pichler A., Martín-Corral D.,
Chinazzi M., Lafond F., Ajelli M., Moro E., Moreno Y., Vespignani A.,
Farmer J. D.
Nature Human Behaviour 8, 264-275 (2024)
Evaluation of FluSight
influenza forecasting in the 2021-22 and 2022-23 seasons with a new target laboratory-confirmed influenza
hospitalizations
Mathis S. M., Webber A. E., León T. M., Murray E. L., Sun M., White L. A., Brooks L. C.,
Green A., Hu A. J., Rosenfeld R., Shemetov D., Tibshirani R. J., McDonald D. J., Kandula S., Pei S., Yaari R.,
Yamana T. K., Shaman J., Agarwal P., Balusu S., Gururajan G., Kamarthi H., Prakash B. A., Raman R., Zhao Z.,
Rodríguez A., Meiyappan A., Omar S., Baccam P., Gurung H. L., Suchoski B. T., Stage S. A., Ajelli M.,
Kummer A. G., Litvinova M., Ventura P. C., Wadsworth S., Niemi J., Carcelen E., Hill A. L., Loo S. L.,
McKee C. D., Sato K., Smith C., Truelove S., Jung S. M., Lemaitre J. C., Lessler J., McAndrew T., Ye W.,
Bosse N., Hlavacek W. S., Lin Y. T., Mallela A., Gibson G. C., Chen Y., Lamm S. M., Lee J., Posner R. G.,
Perofsky A. C., Viboud C., Clemente L., Lu F., Meyer A. G., Santillana M., Chinazzi M., Davis J. T., Mu K.,
Pastore Y Piontti A., Vespignani A., Xiong X., Ben-Nun M., Riley P., Turtle J., Hulme-Lowe C., Jessa S.,
Nagraj V. P., Turner S. D., Williams D., Basu A., Drake J. M., Fox S. J., Suez E., Cojocaru M. G.,
Thommes E. W., Cramer E. Y., Gerding A., Stark A., Ray E. L., Reich N. G., Shandross L., Wattanachit N.,
Wang Y., Zorn M. W., Aawar M. A., Srivastava A., Meyers L. A., Adiga A., Hurt B., Kaur G., Lewis B. L.,
Marathe M., Venkatramanan S., Butler P., Farabow A., Ramakrishnan N., Muralidhar N., Reed C., Biggerstaff M.,
Borchering R. K.
Nature Communications 15, 6289 (2024)
Unveiling the role of
mosquito and human diel activity patterns in the risk of mosquito-borne disease infection
Ventura P. C., Wilke A. B. B., Chitturi J., Kummer A. G.,
Agrawal S., Vasquez C., Gonzalez Y., Litvinova M., Mutebi J.-P., Ajelli M.
Preprint available on medRxiv (2024)
Estimating the potential risk
of transmission of arboviruses in the Americas and Europe: a modelling study
Zardini A., Menegale F., Gobbi A., Manica M., Guzzetta G.,
d'Andrea V., Marziano V., Trentini F., Montarsi F., Caputo B., Solimini A.,
Marques-Toledo C., Wilke A. B. B., Rosà R., Marini G., Arnoldi D., Pastore y Piontti A.,
Pugliese A., Capelli G., della Torre A., Teixeira M. M., Beier J. C., Rizzoli A.,
Vespignani A., Ajelli M., Merler S., Poletti P.
The Lancet Planetary Health 8(1), E30-E40 (2024)
2023
Heterogeneous changes in
mobility in response to the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron BA.2 outbreak in Shanghai
Zhang J., Tan S., Peng C., Xu X., Wang M., Lu W.,
Wu Y., Sai B., Cai M., Kummer A. G., Chen Z., Zou J., Li W., Zheng W.,
Liang Y., Zhao Y., Vespignani A., Ajelli M., Lu X., Yu H.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 120(42), e2306710120 (2023)
Assessing changes in
incubation period, serial interval, and generation time of SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern: a systematic review
and meta-analysis
Xu X., Wu Y., Kummer A. G., Zhao Y., Hu Z., Wang Y.,
Liu H., Ajelli M., Yu H.
BMC Medicine 21, 374 (2023)
Unintended effects of
urban policies on the risk of arbovirus transmission
Wilke A. B. B., Chang N.-B., Townsend J., Benelli G., Ajelli M.
Trends in Parasitology 39(12), 1001-1003 (2023)
Evaluating the impact
of test-trace-isolate for COVID-19 management and alternative strategies
Zhang K., Xia Z., Huang S., Sun G.-Q., Lv J., Ajelli M.,
Ejima K., Liu Q.-H.
PLoS Computational Biology 19(9), e1011423 (2023)
Estimating SARS-CoV-2 infections
and associated changes in COVID-19 severity and fatality
Marziano V., Guzzetta G., Menegale F., Sacco C., Petrone D.,
Mateo Urdiales A., Del Manso M., Bella A., Fabiani M., Vescio M. F., Riccardo F.,
Poletti P., Manica M., Zardini A., d'Andrea V., Trentini F., Stefanelli P.,
Rezza G., Palamara A. T., Brusaferro S., Ajelli M., Pezzotti P., Merler S.
Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses 17(8), e13181 (2023)
Evaluating
the effect of targeted strategies as control tools for hypervirulent meningococcal C outbreaks: a case study
from Tuscany, Italy, 2015 to 2016
Guzzetta G., Ajelli M., Miglietta A., Fazio C., Neri A.,
Merler S., Rezza G., Stefanelli P.
Eurosurveillance 28(19), 2200650 (2023)
Evaluation of
Waning of SARS-CoV-2 Vaccine–Induced Immunity: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis
Menegale F., Manica M., Zardini A., Guzzetta G., Marziano V.,
d'Andrea V., Trentini F., Ajelli M., Poletti P., Merler S.
JAMA Network Open 6(5), e2310650 (2023)
Priority age targets for
COVID-19 vaccination in Ethiopia under limited vaccine supply
Galli M., Zardini A., Gamshie W. N., Santini S., Tsegaye A.,
Trentini F., Marziano V., Guzzetta G., Manica M., d’Andrea V., Putoto G.,
Manenti F., Ajelli M., Poletti P., Merler S.
Scientific Reports 13, 5586 (2023)
Long-term measles antibody
profiles following different vaccine schedules in China, a longitudinal study
Wang Q., Wang W., Winter A. K., Zhan Z., Ajelli M., Trentini F.,
Wang L., Li F., Yang J., Xiang X., Liao Q., Zhou J., Guo J., Yan X.,
Liu N., Metcalf C. J. E., Grenfell B. T., Yu H.
Nature Communications 14, 1746 (2023)
Risk Factors Associated with
the Spatiotemporal Spread of the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron BA.2 Variant — Shanghai Municipality, China, 2022
Zheng W., Deng X., Peng C., Yan X., Zheng N., Chen Z., Yang J.,
Ajelli M., Zhang J., Yu H.
China CDC Weekly 5(5), 97-102 (2023)
Spatiotemporal
distribution of vector mosquito species and areas at risk for arbovirus transmission in Maricopa County,
Arizona
Wilke A. B. B., Damian D., Litvinova M., Byrne T., Zardini A., Poletti P.,
Merler S., Mutebi J.-P., Townsend J., Ajelli M.
Acta Tropica 240, 106833 (2023)
Diel activity patterns of
vector mosquito species in the urban environment: Implications for vector control strategies
Wilke A. B. B., Mhlanga A., Kummer A. G., Vasquez C., Moreno M.,
Petrie W. D., Rodriguez A., Vitek C., Hamer G. L., Mutebi J.-P., Ajelli M.
PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases 17(1), e0011074 (2023)
SARS-CoV-2 transmission
patterns in educational settings during the Alpha wave in Reggio-Emilia, Italy
Molina Grané C., Mancuso P., Vicentini M., Venturelli F., Djuric O.,
Manica M., Guzzetta G., Marziano V., Zardini A., d’Andrea V., Trentini F.,
Bisaccia E., Larosa E., Cilloni S., Cassinadri M. T., Pezzotti P., Ajelli M.,
Giorgi Rossi P., Merler S., Poletti P.
Epidemics 44, 100712 (2023)
Environmental and
socio-economic determinants of mosquito vector species presence and abundance in Los Angeles County, California
Hill M., Wilke A. B. B., Fuller D. O., Kummer A. G., Ventura P. C.,
Beier J. C., Kluh S., Vetrone S., Litvinova M., Ajelli M.
Preprint available on Research Square (2023)
Transmission Dynamics and
Epidemiological Characteristics of the SARS-CoV-2 Delta Variant ― Hunan Province, China, 2021
Luo K., Wu Y., Wang Y., Liu Z., Yi L., Zhao S., Yan X., Yang H.,
Sun K., Ajelli M., Hu S., Yu H.
China CDC Weekly 5(3), 56-62 (2023)
Estimating SARS-CoV-2 transmission
in educational settings: A retrospective cohort study
Manica M., Poletti P., Deandrea S., Mosconi G., Ancarani C.,
Lodola S., Guzzetta G., d'Andrea V., Marziano V., Zardini A., Trentini F.,
Odone A., Tirani M., Ajelli M., Merler S.
Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses 17(1), e13049 (2023)
Estimation of the incubation
period and generation time of SARS-CoV-2 Alpha and Delta variants from contact tracing data
Manica M., Litvinova M., De Bellis A., Guzzetta G., Mancuso P.,
Vicentini M., Venturelli F., Bisaccia E., Bento A. I., Poletti P., Marziano V.,
Zardini A., d'Andrea V., Trentini F., Bella A., Riccardo F., Pezzotti P.,
Ajelli M., Giorgi Rossi P., Merler S., Reggio Emilia COVID-19 Working Group.
Epidemiology & Infection 151, e5 (2023)
2022
Assessing the
transition of COVID-19 burden towards the young population while vaccines are rolled out in China
Cai J., Yang J., Deng X., Peng C., Chen X., Wu Q., Liu H.,
Zhang J., Zheng W., Zou J., Zhao Z., Ajelli M., Yu H.
Emerging Microbes & Infections 11 (1), 1205-1214 (2022)
Epidemiological characteristics
and transmission dynamics of the outbreak caused by the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant in Shanghai,
China: a descriptive study
Chen Z., Deng X., Fang L., Sun K., Wu Y., Che T., Zou J.,
Cai J., Liu H., Wang Y., Wang T., Tian Y., Zheng N., Yan X., Sun R., Xu X.,
Zhou X., Ge S., Liang Y., Yi L., Yang J., Zhang J., Ajelli M., Yu H.
The Lancet Regional Health-Western Pacific 29, (2022)
Characterizing the
transmission patterns of seasonal influenza in Italy: lessons from the last decade
Trentini F., Pariani E., Bella A., Diurno G., Crottogini L.,
Rizzo C., Merler S., Ajelli M.
BMC Public Health 22 (1), 1-9 (2022)
Assessing the feasibility
of sustaining SARS-CoV-2 local containment in China in the era of highly transmissible variants
Wang Y., Sun K., Feng Z., Yi L., Wu Y., Liu H., Wang Q.,
Ajelli M., Viboud C., Yu H.
BMC Medicine 20 (1), 442 (2022)
Tracking the progressive
spread of the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant in Italy, December 2021 to January 2022
Stefanelli P., Trentini F., Petrone D., Mammone A., Ambrosio L.,
Manica M., Guzzetta G., d'Andrea V., Marziano V., Zardini A., Molina Grane C.,
Ajelli M., Di Martino A., Riccardo F., Bella A., Sane Schepisi M., Maraglino F.,
Poletti P., Palamara A. T., Brusaferro S., Rezza G., Pezzotti P., Merler S.
Eurosurveillance 27 (45), 2200125 (2022)
Investigating the
relationship between interventions, contact patterns, and SARS-CoV-2 transmissibility
Trentini F., Manna A., Balbo N., Marziano V., Guzzetta G.,
O’Dell S., Kummer A. G., Litvinova M., Merler S., Ajelli M., Poletti P.,
Melegaro A.
Epidemics 40, 100601 (2022)
Designing isolation
guidelines for COVID-19 patients with rapid antigen tests
Jeong Y. D., Ejima K., Kim K. S., Joohyeon W., Iwanami S., Fujita Y.,
Jung I. H., Aihara K., Shibuya K., Iwami S., Bento A. I., Ajelli M.
Nature Communications 13 (1), 4910 (2022)
Intrinsic generation time of the
SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant: an observational study of household transmission
Manica M., De Bellis A., Guzzetta G., Mancuso P., Vicentini M.,
Venturelli F., Zerbini A., Bisaccia E., Litvinova M., Menegale F., Molina Grané C.,
Poletti P., Marziano V., Zardini A., d'Andrea V., Trentini F., Bella A.,
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The Lancet Regional Health-Europe 19, 100446 (2022)
Modeling transmission
of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron in China
Cai J., Deng X., Yang J., Sun K., Liu H., Chen Z., Peng C.,
Chen X., Wu Q., Zou J., Sun R., Zheng W., Zhao Z., Lu W., Liang Y., Zhou X.,
Ajelli M., Yu H.
Nature Medicine 28 (7), 1468-1475 (2022)
Quantifying the importance
and location of SARS-CoV-2 transmission events in large metropolitan areas
Aleta A., Martín-Corral D., Bakker M. A., Pastore y Piontti A., Ajelli M.,
Litvinova M., Chinazzi M., Dean N. E., Halloran M. E., Longini Jr I. M., Pentland A.,
Vespignani A., Moreno Y., Moro E.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Science 119 (26), e2112182119 (2022)
Anatomy of the first
six months of COVID-19 vaccination campaign in Italy
Gozzi N., Chinazzi M., Davis J. T., Mu K., Pastore y Piontti A.,
Ajelli M., Perra N., Vespignani A.
PLoS Computational Biology 18 (5), e1010146 (2022)
Quantifying human mixing
patterns in Chinese provinces outside Hubei after the 2020 lockdown was lifted
Zhao Y., O’Dell S., Yang X., Liao J., Yang K., Fumanelli L.,
Zhou T., Lv J., Ajelli M., Liu Q.-H.
BMC Infectious Diseases 22 (1), 483 (2022)
The New Quadrivalent Adjuvanted
Influenza Vaccine for the Italian Elderly: A Health Technology Assessment
Calabrò G. E., Boccalini S., Panatto D., Rizzo C.,
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